Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.425769 3.954694 4.535662 5.220813 6.006464 6.878934 7.921130
2025-01-12 2.636363 3.314682 4.122592 5.154607 6.436876 7.976817 9.966110
2025-01-19 1.992192 2.700032 3.605144 4.844932 6.496799 8.619916 11.554520
2025-01-26 1.702333 2.465961 3.505696 5.020351 7.166198 10.093073 14.384875
2025-02-02 1.526874 2.348174 3.531236 5.352334 8.077517 11.996248 18.051650
2025-02-09 1.330119 2.161348 3.422269 5.463735 8.675348 13.521199 21.374587
2025-02-16 1.161074 1.985174 3.296395 5.520349 9.183506 14.959749 24.737753
2025-02-23 0.985144 1.767055 3.068225 5.373530 9.337440 15.850454 27.332368
2025-03-02 0.824222 1.546937 2.801609 5.117806 9.264641 16.346259 29.314184
2025-03-09 0.734855 1.438367 2.708501 5.143992 9.669864 17.678031 32.863623
2025-03-16 0.638116 1.300585 2.542548 5.012475 9.769120 18.476254 35.547063
2025-03-23 0.604775 1.279278 2.588249 5.279811 10.635108 20.746329 41.181136
2025-03-30 0.561700 1.234575 2.587689 5.467229 11.391609 22.937905 47.009706
2025-04-06 0.505548 1.154135 2.505118 5.479289 11.803658 24.520334 51.854337
2025-04-13 0.430411 1.020771 2.294628 5.195866 11.571996 24.798278 54.106050
2025-04-20 0.406234 0.997606 2.315434 5.411226 12.422324 27.383265 61.463404
2025-04-27 0.395684 1.004358 2.402782 5.785577 13.667017 30.940079 71.324328
2025-05-04 0.368618 0.967139 2.384836 5.916048 14.379160 33.426302 79.125370
2025-05-11 0.340344 0.922374 2.342778 5.983310 14.952365 35.667274 86.634650
2025-05-18 0.302553 0.847097 2.216410 5.827966 14.974520 36.652520 91.346305
2025-05-25 0.263333 0.761493 2.051883 5.553105 14.665228 36.819356 94.115338
2025-06-01 0.243351 0.725207 2.008291 5.582596 15.123186 38.873609 101.721839
2025-06-08 0.217874 0.669302 1.905264 5.440804 15.120924 39.797078 106.613065